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PREDICT THE FUTURE - splitmyskirt
 I averaged out my rate of gain to predict the future:

current -
Age 29: 225 lbs

predictions for next five years (based on if rate of gain stays consistant and I don't plateau or quit)

AGE 30: 302 (this to me would be obese not 225)
AGE 31: 379 (in reality I bet I'd plateau before this)
age 32: 456 (I doubt I'd keep gaining if i was getting this big... but who knows)
age 33: 533
age 34: 610
age 35: 687

predictions for next five years if i cut rate of gain in half:

Age 30: 263
AGE 31: 301
AGE 32: 339
AGE 33: 377
AGE 34: 415
AGE 35: 453  (this seems to be more realistic if you ask me)

predicitons for the next five years if i doubled my rate of gain lol (i doubt this is possible as I'm doing everything right not to max gain and i don't think i can do more)

AGE 30: 379
AGE 31: 533
AGE 32: 687
AGE 33: 841
AGE 34: 995

you guys totally feel free to do your own predicting.
8 comments or Leave a comment
joel_mot From: joel_mot Date: September 16th, 2007 03:06 am (UTC) (Link)
I just wish I could predict that you would give longer responses to my comments. :(
splitmyskirt From: splitmyskirt Date: September 16th, 2007 05:06 am (UTC) (Link)
From: seedvance Date: September 16th, 2007 08:17 am (UTC) (Link)
splitmyskirt From: splitmyskirt Date: September 17th, 2007 07:37 am (UTC) (Link)
From: seedvance Date: September 17th, 2007 10:05 pm (UTC) (Link)
Good Game, used as props. I found your reply amusing.
splitmyskirt From: splitmyskirt Date: September 17th, 2007 10:57 pm (UTC) (Link)
From: (Anonymous) Date: September 20th, 2007 06:51 pm (UTC) (Link)

You asked

I’m an engineer … I couldn’t resist.

77 pounds gained last year is 0.21 lbs per day.

Let’s say it takes 6000 cal to make 1 pound of fat. You hear values of around 3000 but that is the caloric value of fat – peanut butter has about 3300 cal per pound. I can’t imagine a body is 100% efficient at turning extra calories into fat – 50% sounds reasonable. Anybody else have ideas?

I found on the web people require about 15 calories per pound per day to maintain body weight.

At 225 lbs you should be devoting 6000* 0.21=1260 calories per day to gaining and 225*15 = 3375 to maintaining = 4635 cal per day. Do you count calories? Does that sound reasonable?

4635 calories / 15 cal per pound = 309 pounds. Your plateau weight if you don’t start eating more.

I even solved a differential equation which said your weight will be 309 – 84 exp(-t/400) t days from now. You should gain about 50 lbs in the next year.

I think most people’s appetites increase with their weight so they gain at a steady rate until they decide to stop gaining. Math is fun but no match for human nature. Thanks for the problem and enjoy your gain whatever it is.
splitmyskirt From: splitmyskirt Date: September 24th, 2007 03:06 am (UTC) (Link)

Re: You asked

lol thanks! I will definately keep you comment as a reference tool, lol, I don't really count calories but maybe i'll start
8 comments or Leave a comment